Detroit City Wire

The Detroit Regional Chamber has released a new statewide poll revealing significant shifts in economic perceptions among Michigan voters, driven by party affiliation. Conducted with The Glengariff Group, Inc., the poll surveyed 600 registered voters between April 24 and 28, 2025.

Findings show that while a plurality of voters believe Michigan is on the "right track," there is a notable decline in optimism since January 2025, primarily among Strong Democrat and Independent voters. This reflects an ongoing polarization where Democrats, who were optimistic under President Joe Biden, are now pessimistic under President Donald Trump, and vice versa for Republicans.

Voter sentiment on Michigan's economic direction shows division, marking the lowest confidence levels since November 2023. Inflation and tariffs have emerged as major concerns. The perception of a weakening economy is tied to political affiliations, with Democrats and Independents viewing it negatively post-election while Republicans perceive improvement.

Recession fears have increased by 11 percentage points from January to April 2025. These fears are rising among Democrats and Independents but remain low among Republicans. Despite recession concerns, most voters feel secure in their jobs over the next five years.

Inflation worries have also surged since January 2025. Political views significantly influence these perceptions: Democrats and Independents foresee worsening inflation, whereas Republicans expect improvement.

On tariffs introduced by Trump, voter opinions are split along party lines. While recognizing that tariffs may increase consumer prices, nearly one-third of voters support them regardless. Automotive workers' opinions mirror this division despite being heavily impacted by tariff policies.

Michigan remains vulnerable to changing economic policies like tariffs. A portion of voters report delaying purchases due to these uncertainties, notably vehicles—a sector disproportionately affected by tariffs.

Regarding innovation and mobility, a majority across demographics agree that China leading in EV manufacturing would hurt Michigan's economy. However, views diverge sharply within parties about competing for EV leadership roles.

In terms of education affordability, only a small fraction find four-year college degrees affordable compared to more favorable views on two-year community colleges or trade certificates.

Lastly, dissatisfaction with U.S. democracy remains high across all parties compared to May 2024 figures; however, Republican satisfaction has increased post-election.